Mr. Fertig is a columnist on economic affairs, New York World Telegram and Sun and other Scripps-Howard newspapers, in which this column first appeared, February 15, 1960.
The decline of our export trade accompanied by a substantial increase in our imports over the past two years is certainly cause for concern.
Two basic reasons for this trend are (1) American high-cost production which makes American goods noncompetitive in many lines; (2) vigorous competition by European and Japanese plants financed largely by U.S. money which can often undersell American products both here and abroad.
The effects of this tough competition have convinced many people that the solution is to raise our tariffs and prevent admission of foreign merchandise. It has also given ammunition to organized high-tariff advocates. The most curious result of all, however, has been the effect upon those who proclaim themselves liberals.
A basic tenet of traditional liberalism has always been the gradual elimination of economic barriers among nations, but an AFL-CIO report recently announced that “powerful support developed for a resolution that would reverse the AFL-CIO traditional backing for the U.S. reciprocal trade policy and request tariffs to curb imports of goods produced in foreign sweat shops.” Of course the phrase “sweat shops” here is merely a semantic trick to designate every nation in the world where labor costs are lower. Many self-styled liberals like the AFL-CIO have renounced the basic liberal principle of freer international trade.
Do the facts justify those who say this country will benefit if we build up a higher tariff wall to exclude foreign merchandise? We do not think so. They make the fundamental error of looking at only one side of the coin. But there are two sides to it—exports as well as imports. Advocates of higher tariffs gloss over the employment to American labor and the profits to American industry derived from the production of goods in this country which are exported to foreign purchasers.
Although last year was not favorable for our foreign trade, we nevertheless had commercial exports of approximately $16 billion of American-produced commercial products. If we curtail this activity, what would happen to the jobs and profits resulting from our producing for export? After all, foreigners cannot buy American goods if they do not earn dollars by selling their merchandise to us. Japan, for instance, which competes keenly with American producers in the United States, was nevertheless the No. 3 buyer of American goods last year. Even in a bad year like 1959 our commercial exports exceeded our merchandise imports by about one billion dollars.
Finally, it must be remembered, every dollar saved by an American consumer who buys an imported product cheaper is a dollar spent for some other necessity manufactured right here. One American manufacturer’s loss becomes another’s gain—but the consumer and the nation get an advantage. Just how terrible is this situation on balance, and why should believers of freer trade get panicky?
Look at the Record
Let’s get specific and take U.S. exports and imports on finished manufactures, since we hear so much about our disadvantage in this type of trade. In the 12 months ended September, 1959, our exports were $9.2 billion and our imports $4.8 billion, so we had an excess of exports of $4.4 billion. Is this a cause for panic? In every major classification we import some goods while our factories make substantial exports. For instance:
|
MACHINE TOOLS |
|
|
Exports |
$156 million |
|
Imports |
30 million |
|
Net Exports |
126 million |
|
|
|
|
AGRICULTURAL EQUIPMENT |
|
|
Exports |
$141 million |
|
Imports |
112 million |
|
Net Exports |
29 million |
|
|
|
|
ENGINES AND PARTS |
|
|
Exports |
$232 million |
|
Imports |
5 million |
|
Net Exports |
227 million |
|
|
|
|
CONSUMER GOODS |
|
|
(Excluding foods and textiles) |
|
|
Exports |
$890 million |
|
Imports |
876 million |
|
Net Exports |
14 million |
Now let’s take a classification where we have a lot of trouble: textiles. Even here our export trade is substantial. The figures read:
|
TEXTILES |
|
|
Exports |
$434 million |
|
Imports |
591 million |
|
Net Imports |
157 million |
In steel mill products we have a similar situation. We import more than we export. But our exports are substantial.
STEEL MILL PRODUCTS
|
Exports |
$165 million |
|
Imports |
291 million |
|
Net Imports |
126 million |
If we want to wipe out our imports, we will have to wipe out our exports which produce jobs and profits. This would not make much sense. Our imports are profitable, as Professor Gottfried Haberler of Harvard recently pointed out. “If factors of production are shifted from the inefficient industries, which can be kept alive only by skyscraper duties, to efficient export industries, real national income per head, real wages and salaries will go up.” After all, that is the objective of economic policy, to make real income go up.
A case can be made out for increased protection where national defense is involved. We may be in dire need of products of certain industries in the future, and we do not want to be left high and dry if a crisis occurs. But this does not mean that we must throw a higher tariff wall around the U.S. and thus lower the real income of U.S. workers.