From the Monthly Letter of the First National City Bank of New York, June 1960.
The real point at issue is how much farther—if at all—we can safely go toward discouraging individual initiative, self-reliance, and industrious habits. The barrage of complaints over inadequate economic growth would seem to suggest that we need to concern ourselves more, rather than less, with the human aspirations that make the economy go.
In recent years it has become fashionable to say that the United States presents a shocking contrast between private wealth and public poverty. Private citizens are pictured as so affluent that they really don’t need all the money they have. On the other hand, it is argued that government is “poverty-stricken” and urgently needs more money. Professor John Kenneth Galbraith’s presentation of these views in The Affluent Society made the best-seller lists and became a provocative topic for conversation. Now the issue has been taken to Washington.
A recent New York Times dispatch by Edwin L. Dale reported that: “More and more people in the capital are convinced that the most important continuing issue of American policy and politics over the next decade will be the issue of public spending—what share of America’s total resources should be devoted to public as distinct from private purposes.” Mr. Dale summed up the view on “private affluence and public poverty” as follows:
Our society has reached a level of private wealth never before seen on this earth.
Yet at the same time there is poverty in the public sector of the economy. Education is under-financed. Streams are polluted. There remains a shortage of hospital beds. Slums proliferate, and there is a gap in middle-income housing. We could use more and better parks, streets, detention facilities, water supply. The very quality of American life is suffering from these lacks—much more than from any lack of purely private goods and services. The share of government in the total economy has been stable or even declining, while private affluence grows.
This is quite an indictment of the free society that has given the masses of the American people wealth and living standards admired the world over.
Antigovernment Fixation?
Senator Joseph Clark of Pennsylvania, addressing a distinguished group of citizens at Arden House last month, expressed the fear that an “antigovernment fixation” in America might lead to a “new anarchy.” This is a rather shocking thought. Most people have had the impression that government was taking on a bigger and bigger role in their lives, digging more deeply into their pockets for taxes, spending so much as to inflate prices, and offering more and more “federal funds for free” about the countryside.
The idea that the role of government should be limited is the central underpinning of American democracy; it grew out of the rebellion in 1775 against kingly power and led to the writing of a Constitution of limited powers designed to protect the freedom and sovereignty of the citizen. This was, perhaps, the “old anarchy,” under which, fired by individual enterprise in a land of opportunity, a group of agricultural colonies clustered along the eastern seaboard expanded into the most prosperous nation on earth.
Senator Clark’s fears seem rather far-fetched. The trend of events has been in the other direction, toward assumption by government of more and more responsibilities. If there is anything that could be called “antigovernment fixation” today it is only a small voice in the wilderness protesting against burgeoning federal bureaucracy and the tax confiscation of the greater part of the fruits of enterprise. In April 1957 we presented a calculation that if total government civilian employment continued to expand at the same rate as in the preceding 25 years we would all be working for government by the year 2069.
It is hard to see evidences of the alleged shriveling of the share of government in the total economy. Such evidences do not appear in statistics of government employment, tax revenues collected, or funds disbursed. As the table shows, there has been no lack of spectacular increases in outlays for social welfare, highways, sanitation facilities, jails, and the rest.
Government Growth
|
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES AND GNP
|
Middle
|
1940
|
Late
|
|
1920′s
|
1950′s
|
||
|
Federal cash expenditures ($ bil.) |
$2.80 |
$9.60 |
$94.80 |
|
State and local government expenditures |
7.7 |
10.3 |
48.8 |
|
($ bil.) |
|||
|
Gross national product ($ bil.) |
97.6 |
95.6 |
463.8 |
|
Per cent: Government expenditures to GNP |
10.80% |
20.80% |
31.00% |
|
SELECTED PUBLIC EXPENDITURES (in |
|
|
|
|
millions of dollars) |
|||
|
Social insurance benefits |
* |
$1,215 |
$15,975 |
|
Highway expenditures |
$1,819 |
2,177 |
8,702 |
|
Aid to other transportation |
257 |
377 |
1,629 |
|
Public welfare and assistance |
161 |
1,314 |
3,777 |
|
Police |
290 |
386 |
1,769 |
|
Fire protection |
203 |
235 |
873 |
|
Sanitation |
312 |
207 |
1,505 |
|
Local parks and recreation |
153 |
162 |
685 |
|
Jails and other correctional |
68 |
105 |
573 |
|
Health |
84 |
195 |
806 |
|
Hospitals |
347 |
537 |
3,849 |
|
Education |
2,243 |
2,827 |
16,836 |
|
OTHER MEASURES (in millions unless otherwise noted) |
|
|
|
|
Number of personal income tax returns. |
4.2 |
14.8 |
59.8 |
|
Government employment |
2.8 |
4.2
|
8.1 |
|
Educational enrollment++ |
30.7 |
32.1 |
46.3 |
|
High school graduates, total number |
n.a. |
25.7 |
51.6 |
|
College graduates, total number |
n.a. |
3.9 |
8.1 |
|
Paved rural roads (miles) |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
|
National park acreage |
9.6 |
21.6 |
24.4 |
|
Visitors to national parks |
2.1 |
16.8 |
65.5 |
|
Social security coverage as |
0 |
64.50% |
90.50% |
|
percentage of paid employment |
|||
|
Public housing units (thousands) |
0 |
60.9 |
444.7 |
n.a. Not available. *Unavailable on comparable basis but minor.+ Includes returns of estates and trusts which numbered less than one per cent of individual returns in 1940 and 1957. Includes public and private schools from elementary to university level.
SOURCES: Figures are taken from U.S. Census Bureau’s Surveys of Governmental Finances in the United States; U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare’s Health, Education and Welfare Trends; and other official publications.
If we are headed for a “new anarchy,” symptoms might be expected to appear in refusals of people to pay what they might regard as unconscionable tax levies. It is true there has been talk that some $8 billion of income is not reported for tax purposes; nevertheless, the fact remains that, with voluntary filing and reporting by tens of millions of individuals and hundreds of thousands of employers, the federal government is enjoying a bigger flow of cash income than any other government on earth, a cool $100 billion a year. If the federal government is indeed impoverished, the cause must be profligacy of expenditure rather than stinginess of the citizen. The amazing thing is how so much money can be disposed of so fast.
No Stinginess Here
How generous the citizen has been with government, compared with what he has kept for himself, is shown in the chart. There has been a 20 times multiplication of the federal government’s cash intake in the past generation. Personal disposable income—the money people have left after income taxes to support themselves and pay other taxes—is not much more than four times the level of 1927. The rise for corporate profits (after taxes) would parallel the retarded gain for personal disposable income.
One excuse given for enlarging programs of financial assistance from the federal government to states and municipalities is that people cannot or will not provide the latter with enough money. No doubt the weight of federal income taxation leads many people to vote against costly state and local government projects involving still more taxes; nevertheless, state and local government income has risen to more than five times the level of 1927.
The Santa Claus School
It is difficult to see in any figures such as these support for the idea that government is poverty stricken. Nevertheless, it is a fact of record that the federal government has had a lot of trouble keeping its budget balanced. The reason emerges when one looks around at the bewildering variety of spending programs. Washington is the natural destination of people and local communities wanting money, as it has been since the advent of what the late Jesse Jones, former RFC chairman, characterized as the “free-spending, Santa Claus school of government reformers.” Meanwhile, the purposes for which funds are sought have come a long way from the emergency relief programs of the 1930′s. Encouraged by federal help and example, the states open their purse strings. Only a few months ago, a New York State Supreme Court decision held that public housing projects open to individuals and families with annual incomes of as much as $6,200 to $14,000 were legally entitled to
be built under New York State’s low-income housing program.
It might be asked on what principle government should subsidize normal living expenses for people with incomes double the national average. Who but themselves will pay the bill—with freight charges to and from Washington tacked on? A good deal of manpower gets wasted, collecting taxes and doling out benefits in the paradoxically poverty-stricken affluent society.