All Commentary
Monday, May 1, 1967

Economic Development of Emerging Nations


Dr. Coleson is Professor of Economics at Spring Arbor College in Michigan. This article, drawn in part from his personal experiences in West Africa, is from a lecture by Dr. Coleson at Northwood Institute, Midland, Michigan.

The plight of the peoples of the underdeveloped countries of the world, long a chronic problem, is rapidly approaching a state of crisis. India is in the grip of an­other famine, said to be the worst in the last century. According to a recent estimate, 96 million In­dians may starve this year, a num­ber equal to almost half the total U.S. population.1 Obviously, no one can really know how many people die in the villages of India, China, Africa, or some other back­ward area because of malnutrition and actual starvation. In any case, there are more than enough per­ishing thus.

Certainly, widespread hunger is potential dynamite in a world which is already politically unsta­ble. Napoleon once called China a sleeping giant and suggested fur­ther that they be allowed to sleep on. Perhaps it would have been better for us if they had, but it is too late now to suggest such a solution to our problems. Further­more, we must remember that times have changed; it is no longer possible for a handful of Europeans with superior weapons to defeat a multitude of “natives” fighting with sticks and stones. Today, the natives contrive to have very nearly as good weapons more enthusiasm for “dying for the cause” than the rest of us, their very numbers may make them a formidable threat. In any case, we are “involved in man­kind” whether we want to be or not; our own safety may require attention to other people’s prob­lems, even if we cannot think of any more humanitarian reasons for our global concerns.

The Need for Definite Answers

Yes, Americans can hardly be accused of being indifferent to human need. Since World War II we have showered the world, back­ward or otherwise, with more than $150 billion of foreign aid, and we are continually being reminded that this isn’t enough. Actually, it has been too much of such as it is but not nearly enough to do the job.

Many loyal Americans are clamoring that we ought to close out the global give-away, lest it bankrupt us. With greater domes­tic debts than all our international beneficiaries combined, any ra­tional person might well question the wisdom of giving away what we simply don’t have. However, terminating foreign aid would make little difference with our own solvency and would be branded as an utterly heartless thing to do in a starving world. What those who object to our un­sound practices ought to do is de­vise a better program, one which would accomplish vastly more, would avoid graft and corruption, would not pauperize the recipients, and would pay its way in the bargain.

Utopian, you say, but it has been done and it worked well for years. What I am describing is simply the international invest­ment program of Britain in the latter part of the last century. To call it a “program” is somewhat misleading, however, because for the most part it was simply a case of English businessmen investing their own money in what they hoped would be profitable ventures around the world.

Britain’s Free Trade Era Proved Marx Wrong

Britain’s economic policy got the world out of a tight spot a hun­dred years ago. At the beginning of the nineteenth century Malthus saw nothing in the future but overpopulation and short rations, with famine, pestilence, and war keeping human numbers within tolerable limits. Britain’s dra­matic shift to a policy of free trade a little more than a century ago did much to encourage eco­nomic development throughout the world and made Malthus’ gloomy predictions seem quite unrealistic by 1900. They had a population explosion back then also, but with a multitude of people around the world producing all they could with improved tools in a world of relatively open markets, living standards rose faster than human numbers. It should be noted also that Europe enjoyed comparative peace, at least the absence of great wars, from 1815 to 1914, which may be more than coinci­dental.

Free enterprise with open mar­kets has been overlooked as a means of promoting economic de­velopment in a context of peace and friendly cooperation even by those who presumably believe in personal freedom. Marx’s claim that capitalism leads to war and almost universal destitution does not stand close inspection, al­though the doctrine is widely be­lieved. Prosperity and general well-being are fringe benefits of freedom, although I, with Patrick Henry, would choose liberty if there were no material advantages in so doing. Furthermore, the blessings of political and economic freedom have also been available to the so-called backward nations on the same terms as to everyone else. While human numbers can­not continue to rise without limit, much that is blamed on overpopu­lation in today’s world is the re­sult of unwise and restrictive eco­nomic policies.

Neglected Aspects of the Population Problem

Americans panic at the thought of the population explosion, which many of my fellow countrymen re­gard a greater threat than the bomb. We are endlessly preoccu­pied with the problem and view the “teeming millions of Asia” with a mixture of pity and fear. We overlook the fact that Switzer­land has almost the same popula­tion density per square mile as India, and Western Germany has about twice as many per unit of area. Yet no one moans over the “teeming millions” of Western Europe where countries like Bel­gium, Holland, and England also have two or three times India’s population per square mile. While India has its limitations, surely Switzerland’s handicaps are as great.

Certainly excessive population has been much overworked as an explanation for India’s woes. Un­fortunately, also, our attempts to rescue India seem only to have ag­gravated the situation. Our for­eign aid, given to feed starving orphans and keep the country from going communist, is, accord­ing to Sudha R. Shenoy of India,

“… one major cause why orphans… are starving and why India is now so firmly set down the road to serfdom. This is because in India foreign aid provides the major portion of finance for the Plans… (but) the Indian people are hun­grier after three Plans than they were before.”`’

In a different sort of world India’s “teeming millions” could be an asset. If the nations of the world played the game fairly, if governments were stable and re­frained from imposing endless economic restrictions, if interna­tional trade were unhampered, if ordinary people were diligent and responsible, then men with invest­ment capital would flock to India or any such backward country and development would be as spectacu­lar as Germany’s “economic mira­cle” after World War II under much less favorable circumstances. But, as Sir Winston Churchill commented in another context, “The terrible if’s accumulate.” In reality India’s economy is snarled in red tape, her people are hungry and getting hungrier. Tragically, the situation will no doubt get worse before it gets better.

The Roots of Backwardness

While the failure of the Mon­soon rains of India would lead to grave problems, just as our “Dust Bowl” of the 1930′s seriously dis­rupted life in the stricken area, still the so-called backward areas of the world have built-in limita­tions that keep their populations perpetually on the brink of starva­tion where any crop failure must lead to disaster. Europe used to have them, too, the last serious one outside the Soviet Union being the catastrophic Irish Potato Famine of 1846. To a peasant peo­ple with no reserves, any natural calamity such as a drought, too much rain, or an early frost must lead to a winter of want, if not actual starvation.

With us it is now different. We have all heard farmers remark in the last generation or two that a killing frost, for instance, has its bright side since the price would be better for whatever crops did survive. Even the disastrous dust storms of the Depression years did not lead to widespread famine with hordes of people dying by the roadside in Kansas or Okla­homa as they do in India or China. I doubt if very many people starved in America back then, even with total crop failure in the midst of the world’s greatest de­pression. I know some people were malnourished then, and I didn’t have to read this out of a book.

But this was exceptional with us — life at its worst. Out in West Africa a “hungry season” is a normal and regular feature of the yearly cycle just as tulip time in the spring or falling leaves in autumn are familiar signs of the times with us. The hungry season comes after the crops are planted when the remaining rice or corn gives out weeks before the new harvest. Then the chronic problem of hunger becomes acute and famine makes its annual visit to the village.

Wrong First Impressions

Now it would be easy for us, particularly those of us with a farm background, to quickly diag­nose their difficulties if we were there and could walk out from the villages to the little patches of cultivation which are their farms. We would no doubt see in the short-handled West African hoe the source of the problem of in­adequate yields, and we would pre­scribe massive doses of mechani­zation to get the people producing enough so that there would be abundance for all throughout the year with a surplus for market and export. We would be sure that tractors and power tools would quickly solve the problem of na­tive nutrition.

But if we stayed around long enough to get acquainted, we would find that the people could probably grow enough with the tools and crops they now have to tide them over the annual hungry season, if they would just try a little harder. Ask the average vil­lager why he doesn’t plant a little more rice and he will answer that it isn’t any use. You will then learn that the native social system makes accumulation impossible; if his relatives learn that he has a little surplus when the hungry season comes, they will pay him a friendly visit and it will be gone within a week. They will then go hungry together.

Since there is no use to try, few do; but this results in hopeless stagnation. This is usually blamed on the warm climate; but the na­tives of Alaska react in the same fashion for the same reason, al­though the cooler climate and the certainty of winter storms should promote diligence and frugality. Yet the natives of the northland in this invigorating environment won’t even cut a little piece of wood ahead, because they know they’ll have to “lend” it to the neighbors before they get around to burning it themselves. There­fore, there’s no surplus and no progress. This backwardness we have long blamed on the climate. It is climate — the social climate.

As a further deterrent, should some handy soul still try to get ahead, the native legal code for­bids progress. In West Africa, at least, prosperity is associated in the native mind with magic. To them anyone who gives evidence of doing a little better financially than his neighbor must have the charm that insures success, a powerful “medicine” which bene­fits him but harms his neighbors accordingly. As soon as some calamity befalls them, they make a scapegoat of their prosperous neighbor. They prosecute him in the chief’s court and continue ac­tion against him until he is re­duced to the same dead level of poverty with everyone else. They cannot imagine that anyone can get ahead except by harming his fellows, so they try to see that this never happens. Most of the time they succeed, which keeps the country hopelessly backward.

Thus, most of the world has stagnated throughout recorded history with here and there a re­markable period of progress, the exception to the rule. Here in the West we have been part of one of those dramatic eras, the much maligned Industrial Revolution. All of us are immeasurably better off because of the diligence, thrift, and ingenuity of our fathers. It remains to be seen if we can con­tinue what they started.

“Ideas Have Consequences”

It is hard for us to imagine the depths of poverty which are com­monplace in the villages of West Africa and throughout too much of the world. We visit a native hut and find it almost utterly bare of furnishings. An iron pot set on three stones is the kitchen and the meal is eaten directly from it without dishes or silverware. The wardrobe may be a single garment which serves both day and night.

The poverty of West Africa as I knew it, is not the consequence of some horrible landlord system as it may be elsewhere. There is so little in Sierra Leone because they produce so little. The soil is wretchedly poor as it is through­out much of the tropical world, the hills are seriously eroded, most of the forest cover has been degraded into worthless second-growth brush, farming techniques are utterly primitive, yields are pitifully small, and hence famines come often.

The natives are full of parasites which sap most of their energy and the social system discourages effort. Native crafts are primitive and unproductive. My next door neighbor in one of the villages was a weaver who wove a band of about six inches wide on his crude loom. His cloth was expen­sive even by our standards al­though he earned only a pittance, like everyone else in the village.

Nor is there a simple Marxian solution to their problem. Perhaps things were not properly divided in their society — the chief of the village had 80 wives — but redis­tributing the wealth, except the wives, would be pointless. By our standards there is nothing to divide.

What they clearly need in West Africa and around the world is in­creased productivity, and this means better tools and techniques. But first there must be a change in people’s thinking to make this possible. Marx claimed that tools came first and new thought pat­terns grew up to conform to the improved means of production. Actually, a wee bit of freedom made the new equipment possible in the first place.

Watt had his opportunity which developed into a practical steam engine only because the University of Glasgow took him in after the city fathers refused to let him set up shop within their jurisdiction. The sewing machine was invented in France but passed out of use when eighty machines were de­stroyed by an angry mob. It was invented again like many other devices, in this case over here with no other advantage than the freedom to do it and perfect it to the point that the machine be­came practical. In England Ark­wright’s textile mills were burned and a less persistent and coura­geous man would have given up the struggle. With all the engi­neering problems involved, the greatest hurdle was still finding the opportunity to make the in­vention and bring it into produc­tion.

Marx was clearly wrong: in the beginning was the thought — the conviction that freedom was pos­sible and desirable. New tools and industrial techniques were but the by-products of the new out­look. In all fairness it should be allowed that improved means of production had an impact upon man himself. Sir Winston Church­ill is said to have remarked that we shape our buildings and then they shape us. Churchill’s as­sertion is sounder social theory than the crude determinism of Marx and others who make man a victim of his environment, eco­nomic, social, or geographic. We are still the masters of our des­tiny, even in this age of automa­tion and the bomb.

What We Can Do

It might appear from my de­scription of the West African so­cial order that nothing can be done for the people. Actually, of course, there has been progress there in spite of handicaps and limitations, and change is the order of the day. As a first step we need to recognize what we can do to help them move forward and what they must do them­selves — because we have no right to impose our ideas, however right, upon them. I would not go to India with a deer rifle and start shooting sacred cows, al­though I happen to think that India will not get very far with a solution to her problems until they develop a rational policy on keeping livestock. I would be quite within my right in trying to en­lighten the Hindus so they would eventually make such changes themselves. One of the most press­ing needs of these poverty-strick­en countries is something which would cost nothing but would pay real dividends.

My brother, who spent several years in India and West Africa as a missionary, believes that the most serious economic handicap of these backward areas is the utter lack of elementary honesty among the people. They are poor because they are thieves, not the reverse. This appalling plague of graft and corruption permeates every aspect of life from government and business down to petty per­sonal relationships. Bars are standard equipment on the win­dows of homes out there and a night watchman is a necessity for even a private dwelling. The problem of trying to hang on to one’s own possessions becomes in­surmountable. Certainly they will never make real progress until they learn to respect other peo­ple’s property rights. This is a necessary and possible change.

It is fashionable today for an­thropologists and sociologists to speak disparagingly of the accom­plishments of missionaries, but they have made a very real con­tribution. Charles Darwin who knew conditions in the South Sea Islands exceedingly well speaks highly of the change brought about by their effort:

They [critics] expect the mission­aries to effect that which the Apostles themselves failed to do. In­asmuch as the condition of the peo­ple falls short of this high stand­ard, blame is attached to the mis­sionary… They forget, or will not remember, that human sacri­fices,… infanticide,… [and] bloody wars… have been abolished; and that dishonesty, intemperance, and licentiousness have been greatly reduced by the introduction of Chris­tianity. In a voyager to forget these things is base ingratitude; for should he chance to be at the point of ship­wreck on some unknown coast, he will most devoutly pray that the lesson of the missionary may have extended thus far.3

The Importance of Character

There is a closer connection be­tween character and progress than we realize. It is commonly as­sumed that capitalists invented greed but Max Weber points out that it is precisely in those coun­tries which are most backward from a capitalist point of view that the “universal reign of abso­lute unscrupulousness in the pur­suit of selfish interests” is most highly developed — where one finds it almost impossible to hang on to his property because thieves and rogues work overtime trying to wrest it from its rightful owner.4 As Weber tells us, the willingness to respect the rights of others, to play the game fairly as one might say, is a necessary condition for economic development.

Weber also stresses the fact that Luther and Calvin preached the dignity of labor, the responsi­bility of the worker to do his best as unto God. In all the backward areas of the world today work is contemptible, something to be done by slaves who cannot get out of it. This attitude toward labor must change before any very real progress is possible. And it seems to me that work is going out of fashion here, too. Evidently we need a revival of the Puritan vir­tues of honesty, diligence, frugal­ity, and responsibility as part of a renaissance in our own nation also. Then we could offer the sort of leadership other nations might like to follow.

Today’s “Complex Problems” and Reality

Actually, those staggering prob­lems we moan about continually are mostly symptoms of a larger disorder. Let us examine a few of the conspicuous ones. Our much-publicized Malthusian dilemma, the population explosion, is a case in point. According to L. Dudley Stamp, perhaps the world’s fore­most geographer, the world could easily support 10 billion people or three times the present totaL.5 He is assuming full production and open markets, but no revolutionary techniques yet untried and un­proven — just doing as well as we already know or can know.

Adequate nutrition means in­creased human energy, which could result in higher productivity to provide a decent standard of living for the human family. Im­proved nutrition also means better health. While the tropical lands have some special problems which are uniquely theirs, the health hazards of the tropics have been exaggerated, too. Adam Smith re­marked in The Wealth of Nations that it was “not uncommon… in the Highlands of Scotland for a mother who has borne twenty chil­dren not to have two alive.” Nor were mortality figures more mod­erate here in earlier times. We have all heard of the appalling losses from fever that frustrated the attempts to build the Panama Canal. We do not know that the builders of the Erie-Wabash Canal through northern Indiana lost a laborer for every six feet of canal dug.6 We have also for­gotten that Michigan was notori­ous for malaria in the early days as this pioneer rhyme reminds us:

Don’t go to Michigan, that land of ills;

The word means ague, fever and chills.7

Michigan also shares the mis­fortune with most tropical lands of having much poor soil. Con­trary to popular opinion in America, tropical soils are usually infertile. This makes problems. But other lands have triumphed over this limitation. The Scandi­navian countries have done very well indeed in spite of their poor, sandy soils. Perhaps the leading authority on the tropics, Pierre Gourou, has urged that the Afri­cans and others could solve their problems by growing tree crops on the eroded hillsides and rice in the largely unused paddy lands along the streams.8 With such a rational program of land use, Africa would be well able to sup­port its population for some while.

It would be possible to go on with constructive suggestions, based not on utopian optimism but on what has been proven in practice. Today’s global crisis is but the bankruptcy of unwise poli­cies we have been pursuing too long. But it is not enough to loudly criticize unsound practices such as foreign aid and the farm program. Men of good will have the responsibility of knowing what else we might have done, of being aware of constructive alter­natives.

Testimony to Freedom

One of the greatest sources of inspiration as well as information for the serious student is the eco­nomic history of Great Britain in the latter half of the nineteenth century, the golden age of free en­terprise and open markets. And, strangely, unusual people bear testimony to the accomplishments of this great era. Lord Keynes, the British godfather of the New Deal of the 1930′s, described this period in even more glowing terms than I would.° He tells us that in this “economic Eldorado, in this eco­nomic Utopia” men forgot about Malthus and population problems in a world of full production and open markets. Keynes makes in­teresting reading. Poles apart from him is Benjamin M. Ander­son, an American economist who has covered the history of the first half of this century in great de­tail. He introduces his excellent Economics and the Public Welfare with high praise for the pre-World War I era so eloquently lauded by Lord Keynes. This is how a con­servative characterizes the same period:

There was a sense of security then which has never since existed. Prog­ress was generally taken for granted… decade after decade had seen increasing political freedom…. It was an era of good faith. Men be­lieved in promises… the good faith of governments and central banks was taken for granted. Governments and central banks were not always able to keep their promises, but when this happened they were ashamed…. No country took pride in debas­ing its currency as a clever financial expedient.

The world was incredibly shocked in 1914 when Bethmann-Hollweg, Chancellor of Germany, character­ized the treaty guaranteeing the neutrality of Belgium as a “scrap of paper.” In retrospect, one may say that this was one of the most terrible things that has ever been said. The world is full of scraps of paper…. The greatest and most important task of the next few decades must be to rebuild the shattered fabric of national and international good faith. Men and nations must learn to trust one another…. There is no certainty that we can recreate the fabric of good faith which we have destroyed, but there is no higher duty than to make the effort.¹º

Prospects for Improvement

While there is no certainty of success, it seems to me that con­ditions are more favorable for a renaissance of right thinking and sound policy than they have been for many a year. Hegel insisted that a situation generates its op­posite, the familiar “swing of the pendulum,” and it seems to me that this is true in general, al­though Hegel and his disciples sometimes carried his theory to absurd lengths. Nevertheless, the world is due for a change. As Newton would say, “to every ac­tion there is an opposite and equal reaction.” Even the best and most constructive movements lose their charm and go out of fashion. “There is a tide in the affairs of men” and “the old order changes, yielding place to new,” as the poets say.

This gospel of Salvation accord­ing to Marx has promised much but has delivered little except star­vation and oppression. A good many people who will never read Hayek’s Road to Serfdom have known the terror firsthand or have seen people shot while trying to escape from the proletarian para­dise. The world has been learning its economic and political theory the hard way. Not all is well in our welfare state either. In 1946 Keynes himself voiced disillusion­ment with the “new economics” he had helped to create in the de­pression years only a decade ear­lier: “… how much modernist stuff, gone wrong and turned sour and silly, is circulating in our system…”11

It would be interesting to know what Lord Keynes would say today, had he lived. But a good many people who have not yet heard of Keynes and have no idea how this attempt to maintain perpetual prosperity is supposed to operate are becoming increas­ingly aware that something is wrong somewhere. This failure of the managed economy on both sides of the Curtain gives us an opportunity we have not had for a long, long time. But this oppor­tunity brings us the responsibility of being able to present a con­structive alternative. May I rec­ommend what Adam Smith called.. the obvious and simple sys­tem of natural liberty… “¹² for in a context of freedom, progress would again be possible around the world.

 

—FOOTNOTES—

1 Nancy hardesty, “India’s Famine,” Eternity (January, 1967), p. 16.

2 Sudha R. Shenoy, “The Coming Serf­dom in India” THE FREEMAN (December, 1966), p. 39.

 

3 Charles Darwin, Voyage of the Bea­gle (harvard Classics, Vol. 29), pp. 437­438.

4 Max Weber, The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism. pp. 58 and 108.

5 L. Dudley Stamp, Land for Tomor­row, p. 219.

6 DeWitt Goodrich and Charles Tuttle, An Illustrated History of the State of Indiana, p. 209.

7 Madge E. Pickard and R. Carlyle Buley, The Midwest Pioneer: His Ills, Cures and Doctors, p. 13.

8 Pierre Gourou, The Tropical World, pp. 100-103 and 134-141.

9 John Maynard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, pp. 7-10.

10 Benjamin McAlester Anderson, Eco­nomics and the Public Welfare (Prince­ton, N. J.: D. Van Nostrand, 1949), pp. 3-5.

11 J. M. Keynes, “The Balance of Pay­ments of the United States,” Economic Journal (June 1946), p. 186.

¹² Adam Smith, The Wealth of Na­tions, (Modern Library edition), p. 651.

 

***

Dangerous Experimentation

Only if we understand why and how certain kinds of economic controls tend to paralyze the driving forces of a free society, and which kinds of measures are particularly dangerous in this re­spect, can we hope that social experimentation will not lead us into situations none of us want.

F. A. HAYEK, From the Foreword to the 1957 edition of The Road of Serfdom